First, a note that Fangraphs has done a Fangraphesque take on my post topic from earlier this week, Jeremy Affeldt’s wowie-zowie ground ball rate this year.
Now let’s talk about Fred Lewis, just like reader 50andstillfly asked for this morning. (I please to aim.) Seeing how the Giants have gone and gotten all Bowkered up, their outfield is extremely crowded. Short-term, Torres and Rowand and Winn and Lewis and Schierholtz and The Big LeBowker can squeeze in, but something’s got to give. Right now the odd man out is Lewis, who is so banished to the doghouse he might as well strap on a leather helmet and goggles and pretend he’s flying a Sopwith Camel.
With all of 10 at-bats in July, he’s basically rotting on the bench. Perhaps Fred could be part of an upcoming trade, but he certainly won’t be a major component. He also could be sent to the minors but he’ll have to clear waivers first, which I don’t see happening. Freddie has his flaws, but if the Giants are giving him away, no doubt there will be takers.
Release him? Only if the Giants see his current malaise of cringeworthy D and out-of-whack swing as irreversible. That’s really the big question: Can Fred be fixed?
I don’t know the answer. No one really knows the answer. He’s shown enough at the big-league level — a great eye, excellent speed, the ability to hit for at least occasional power — that throwing in the towel seems foolish. As recently as this winter, Giants brass, fans, and others were all expecting solid work from him. Statistically, 2009 hasn’t been the disaster so often described in the press. In the field, he’s still above average (according to UZR). At the plate, his discipline numbers aren’t all that different from last year; he’s just swinging and missing a little bit more at strikes. He’s striking out more and hitting with less power, but it’s not like he’s gone in the tank, statistically speaking.
Naked eye-speaking, though, it’s clear something’s wrong.
Here’s my prescription for the Giants. Try to trade him. Get something for him, perhaps as part of a larger package. Don’t give him away for free.
But if no one wants Fred, do what you can to keep him because he might come in handy next year. Winn will probably be gone, Rowand will be a year older, Schierholtz and Bowker might still be big question marks, and Torres will still be a backup outfielder. There probably won’t be reinforcements coming from the minors. Meanwhile, Fred will still be relatively young, cheap, fast, and willing to take a walk. (But in the morning, I’ll be sober.)
If Bowker goes bananas in the next two weeks, he’ll force the Giants’ hand. But if he’s closer to mezzo-mezzo, send him back down to Fresno for more minor-league Bowkermania and tell him to be ready to compete for a big-league job in 2010. Meanwhile, having spent a couple months riding serious pine, Fred might be more sober, too (figuratively), and work his ass off all winter and spring to re-win a roster spot. He might even return to the player he was in 2008 — good, not great, but very useful.
I love Fred but he makes me shake my head. I wouldn't give him away or even package him for a rent a player either. It doesn't cost anything to keep him on the bench as insurance in case of an injury or if Torres or Nasty Nate start slumping.
I am a little surprised that Fred is the odd man out however seeing as none of the OF we currently have would be starting on any other team. Why not try to give away or release Winn and his .273 avg, 2 hrs, and 35 rbi's? Maybe another team is willing to take on his salary for some low level prospects allowing Fred to ease his way back into the lineup. With the way Nate is playing in right we aren't going to miss Winn's D and his bat right now is about as cold as it can get.
Fred deserves another chance before we completely give up on him and move on and as far as who might be around next year, I don't want to see Winn in a Giants uni but I wouldn't mind having Fred at $600 K and a less crowded outfield and hopefully less pressure on him.
I agree 100% excepting your comments about Winn's performance. Lewis led the team last year in OPS among regulars who played a full season and played good defense. His offensive numbers are low for the season with respect to last year and he was benched in the midst of a huge slump, and yet his overall offensive numbers are still not terrible. Lewis' two biggest problems are his K-rate and his bizarre defensive lapses. I would consider a trade but doubt he will get return value. Unless Winn is traded and/or Bowker tanks, I don't see him getting any opportunity to regain the starting position until spring training next season. I would get him in the game every time the Giants build a 5 run lead in order to give him opportunity to reprove himself offensively and defensively, and if that goes well I would continue to give him an occasional spot start. Lewis has too much potential to give away for free although at 28 he his opportunity to put it all together is getting short.
One has to wonder if his performance has anything to do with his recovery from bunion surgery.
Dang, I was about to post this!
Relatedly, he also has a bunion on his other foot, could he be unbalanced now that one is fixed?
Oh, or worse, could the other one gotten so bad that it needs fixing, much like last year when that one got so bad that it needed fixing?
Put the bunions back in.
I don't think Winn will be traded with the team finally doing well, it would be kind of cruel to do that to him now that the team is winning.
I would hope that Winn is not with the team next year. We need to open up the two corner OF spots and let Lewis, Schierholtz, Bowker, heck, even Torres, battle for it next year. Maybe Guzman and EME while they are at it. That might hurt the team's chances, but this really should have been done in 2009, though I understand why they did what they did, they wanted to ensure some level of competitiveness should the young position players not produce.
I think unless we get an equivalent talent, say, under-performing infielder or pitcher, we should keep Lewis on the bench and get him ready to compete for a job in 2010.
Does Randy Johnson have a no-trade clause? If the Giants do trade a pitcher for a bat signed only for this season or so or a veteran player, maybe Johnson should be traded instead of giving up Sanchez. Ideally, I would want someone to trade for Zito, but, the chances of that happening are less than that of my winning the lotto :-), hence.
Lefty: thanks for the love. I go back and forth on FLew: the power (like the dinger against the Rangers), the way he uses all of the field (like the double to LF yesterday), and the speed are all enticing, but the Ks and the bad glove work are maddening.
The big question I have is whether Lewis is capable of adjusting to the way he is being pitched. Panda has been great at this; Ishikawa and Schierholtz seem to be making strides: and Bowker is still a big question mark. Freddie seems to get caught in no mans' land too often: behind the fastball, ahead of the breaking stuff. I still believe that Fred has the best combination of power and speed of anyone on the roster, but obviously that means nothing if he can't make contact.
JT Snow suggested yesterday that Lewis' fielding issues may have affected his hitting. If true, it will be difficult for him to get over this, because Schierholtz and Bowker are hogging the early innings and Torres is now the late inning replacement.
I see it as a tough call, and I won't throw any stones at Bochy whichever way he handles it.