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When the Giants Come to Town, It's Bye-Bye Baby | |
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When the Giants Come to Town, It's Bye-Bye Baby | |
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Giants 40-Man Roster
(w/2010 Salary, if known) PITCHERS
Affeldt (4.5 M)Bumgarner Cain (4.5 M) Hinshaw Joaquin S. Johnson Lincecum (9 M) J. Martinez Medders (.85 M) Pucetas Romo Runzler J. Sanchez (2.1 M) H. Sosa B. Wilson (4.4 M) Zito (18.5 M) CATCHERS
Molina (4.5 M)
PoseyWhiteside INFIELDERS
BurrissDeRosa (6 M) Downs Frandsen Gillaspie Huff (3 M) Ishikawa Pill Renteria (10 M) Rohlinger F. Sanchez (6 M) Sandoval Uribe (3.25 M) Velez OUTFIELDERS
BowkerFord Lewis Peguero Rowand (13.6 M) Schierholtz Torres OTHER
Bonds ($5 M deferred from '05 + interest)Gigantes
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Maybe I'm being optimistic, but when Sabes said he would focus on the top of the order (make it more "consistent") I took that to mean he's going to acquire a clean-up hitter. About 20 million is coming off the books (salaries of Winn and Roberts and deferred payments to Bonds), so the money ought to be there for an impact player.
Remember that arbitration rulings for Lincecum, Wilson and J. Sanchez, plus F. Sanchez's option, will probably add *more* than $20 M.
Bonds' defered money does not yet come off the books. Barry's 2002-2006 contract called for five $5M defered payments 2007 thru 2011. Therefore he remains on the books for not just 2010 but 2011 too.
What does come off the books this offseason is Winn's $8,25M, Johnson's $8M, Molina's $6.5M, Roberts' $6.5M, Lowry's $4.5M, Howry's $3.25M, and Aurilia's $1M for a total of $38M. (I am assuming F.Sanchez's team option is exercised or he is signed to and extention and that Uribe is re-signed.)
However, Matt Cain's contract calls for a $1.6M raise, we should expect F.Sanchez and Uribe to cost about $6.4M more then the $3.5M they combined to cost the Giants in 2009, and we should expect that arbitration will award Lincecum/Wilson/J.Sanchez about $14M more then the $1.6M they combined to cost in 2009. These increases will eat up $22M of the above $38M in savings leaving $14M to spend on replacing the production of Johnson/Penny, Winn, Molina, Garko/Aurilia, and Medders/Miller.
With the Addition of $2.5M for F.Sanchez and including Bonds' $5M defered payment the Giants spent $90M on players in 2009. Bottom line, if the Giants are going to get any better in 2010 they will need significant cheap production from Bumgarner, Posey, and their inexpensive outfielders, or they are going to have to spend $100M rather then hold the line at $90M.
Two corrections.
1) $38M minus $22M is $16M not $14M.
2) Howry should have been incuded with Medders and Miller as bullpen production that needs to be replaced.
That's depressing. I thought we were finally going to have some money to spend. I've been defending our "pitching first" philosophy, but we do need someone to bat clean up or at least protect Panda. Don't we?
A great deal of overturn around Sandoval leading to spikes in OBP @ 3-4 positions (theoretically feasible, as several spots were anemic this year) and bouncebacks from Renteria/Rowand could do it.
The way I see it, Neukom has to take his time now that someone leaked it out, to make it look on the up and up and not a rubber stamp.
That's why Sabean had to say that there was no done deal, because there was none yet.
And the leak didn't say there was a done deal, just that Neukom wants them back.
Well, if Neukom wants them back, and Sabean and Bochy wants to be back, well, then it's just a matter of time and negotiation.
Last year's late movement of FAs and the number of non-tendered players could possibly represent a paradigm shift in the collective philosophy of front offices.
Those who rushed to sign FA (i.e., SF with Renteria) got burned in the worst way versus those who were patient (LAA with Abreu).
Based on the information on other websites, it looks like some interesting players could be non-tendered (Connor Jackson, for example).
Have to agree with lefy on Velez. The potions the space aliens gave him did wear out.
Being that a change of scenery can work both ways--good for a struggling player and bad for an overrated player like Rowand--taking a change on some of these players may be smarter than chasing after a 31-year Matt Holliday or Bay, who will want to 5 years from us.
There are a couple of players who could be good contributors on this team--Schierholtz and Garko-- who deserve a serious opportunity, not some b.s. approach where they play for one day and sit for four or more.
If they don't pan out, we move on, but why spend on a player who could end up being the next Aaron Rowand when we COULD have some in-house options?
They only way this can happen is 1) not rehire Bochy, or 2) not give Bochy any more over-paid veterans.
Add Ishikawa, Bowker, and Lewis to your list. Compared to your first two, they are not any worse.
Sanchez' injury history: 2009 was the first year, since he became a regular in 2005, that he played fewer than 130 games. Why should he not return full-force in 2010?
Free agents: impact free agents will demand lengthy contracts, such as Rowand and Zito have; the problem isn't so much overpayment as multi-year drag on improvement.
2 more years apiece for Boch and Sabes, with a club option for 2012. Are you feelin' the love yet? Does Jason Bay turn this team into a World Series contender? Or are we in for 2 more years of Timmy and Cain and try not to go insane?
Not sure the Giants can afford to get into a bidding war with the Sox for Jason Bay, but yeah, I wouldn't mind him roaming left field for the GMen next season.